Saturday, February 9, 2019

Let's predict some Oscars....

I normally don't do this but let's give in a go. Let's predict the 2019 Oscars...



Best Picture

The Nominees
Roma
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
A Star is Born
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite 
Vice
Green Book

What should win- Roma 
What will likely win- A Star is Born (it has the big financial backing) or Green Book (I haven't seen it but it seems to be resonating with people in the States)
What shouldn't be nominated- Bohemian Rhapsody (may scream if it wins)

Best Actor
The nominees
Bradley Cooper for A Star is Born
Rami Malek for Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen for Green Book
Willem Dafoe for At Eternity's Gate
Christian Bale for Vice

Who should win- Rami Malek
Who will likely win- Rami Malek
Who should be nominated but isn't- John David Washington for BlacKkKlansman (He wouldn't have had a shot at winning against Malek but the performance is at least on par with Cooper)

Best Actress
The nominees
Glenn Close for The Wife
Lady Gaga for A Star is Born
Olivia Colman for The Favourite
Melissa McCarthy for Can you ever forgive me?
Yalitza Aparicio for Roma

Who should win- Olivia Colman (it is really a supporting performance but it is regardless one of the best of the year)
Who will likely win- Glenn Close or Lady Gaga

Best Supporting Actor
The nominees
Adam Driver for BlacKkKlansman
Mahershala Ali for Green Book
Richard E Grant for Can you ever forgive me?
Sam Rockwell for Vice
Sam Elliot for A Star is Born

Who should win- Sam Rockwell
Who will likely win- Mahershala Ali (again haven't seen Green Book but I understand that this is a wrong category deal and should be in the lead bucket. There have been racism allegations against the fact Ali was pushed for supporting but in all honesty I doubt he would beat Malek for lead but he will likely take the supporting out)
Who should also be nominated but isn't- Topher Grace for BlacKkKlansman

Best Supporting Actress
The nominees
Amy Adams for Vice
Emma Stone for The Favourite
Rachel Weisz for the Favourite
Regina King for If Beale Street Could Talk
Marina de Tavira for Roma

Who should win- Rachel Weisz or if the buzz is anything to go by, Regina King
Who will likely win- Regina King

Best Director
The nominees
Adam Mckay for Vice
Alfonso Cuaron for Roma
Pawel Pawlikowski for Cold War
Spike Lee for BlacKkKlansman
Yorgos Lanthimos for The Favourite

Who should win- I'd be pretty happy for anyone except Adam McKay to win. If I had to pick, Alfonso Cuaron
Who will likely win- Alfonso Cuaron (unless the award Spike Lee to make up for the all the times he should have been nominated and wasn't)

Best Original Screenplay
The nominees
First Reformed
Green Book
Vice
The Favourite
Roma

What should win- The Favourite
What will likely win- The Favourite or Roma
What should be nominated but isn't- Sorry to Bother you

Best Adapted Screenplay
The nominees
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Can you ever Forgive me?
A Star is Born
BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk

What should win- BlacKkKlansman
What will likely win- If Beale Street Could Talk or BlacKkKlansman

Best Cinematography
The nominees
Roma
Cold War
A Star is Born
Never Look Away
The Favourite

What should win- Roma
What will likely win- Roma
What shouldn't be nominated- A Star is Born

Best Editing
The nominees
Bohemian Rhapsody
BlacKkKlansman
Vice
Green Book
The Favourite

What should win- BlacKkKlansman
What will likely win- if there is justice in the world, BlacKkKlansman but strong competition from The Favourite
What shouldn't be nominated- Bohemian Rhapsody

Best Production Design
The nominees
Mary Poppins Returns
Black Panther
First Man
Roma
The Favourite

What should win- Black Panther
What will likely win- Black Panther or The Favourite

Best Costumes
The nominees
Mary Poppins Returns
Black Panther
Mary Queen of Scots
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
The Favourite

What should win- Black Panther
What will likely win- Black Panther or The Favourite
What shouldn't be nominated- Mary Queen of Scots

Best Hair and Make-Up
The nominees
Mary Queen of Scots
Vice
Border

What should win- Vice
What will likely win- Vice
What shouldn't be nominated and I will be enraged if wins- Mary Queen of Scots (some of the worst hair and make up of the year in my opinion)

Best Original Score
The nominees
Mary Poppins Returns
Isle of Dogs
Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk

What should win- Black Panther
What will likely win- Black Panther 

Best Original Song
The nominees
All the stars from Black Panther
Shallow from A Star is Born
The Place Where The Lost Things Go from Mary Poppins Returns
I'll Fight from RBG
When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings from The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

What should win- All The Stars
What will likely win- Shallow


Best Sound Mix
The nominees
First Man
Black Panther
A Star is Born
Bohemian Rhapsody
Roma

What should win- First Man (I haven't seen it but the sound mix is supposed to be outstanding) or Black Panther
What will likely win- First Man

Best Sound Editing
The nominees
Black Panther
A Quiet Place
Roma 
First Man
Bohemian Rhapsody

What should win- A Quiet Place
What will likely win- basically they are nuts if A Quiet Place doesn't win but First Man might sneak in and win

Best Visual Effects
The nominees
Avengers: Infinity War
First Man
Christopher Robin
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story

What should win- of this list, Avengers
What will likely win- Avengers or First Man
What shouldn't be nominated- Ready Player One (it was awful) or Solo (it was fine but visually not outstanding)
What should be nominated but isn't- Annihilation and Black Panther. It is insane that Annihilation is not nominated...WHY academy why?!?!

Best animation
The nominees
Mirai
Incredibles 2
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Isle of Dogs
Spiderman: Into the Spiderverse

What should win- Spiderman: Into the Spiderverse
What will likely win- Spiderman: Into the Spiderverse

Best Foreign Film
The nominees
Roma
Cold War
Shoplifters
Capernaum
Never Look Away

Not seen Capernaum (it looks outstanding but isn't out yet in Australia ) or Never Look Away (haven't even seen the trailer)

What should win- Roma (can't back it for best film overall and not here even if I enjoyed Cold War more- as a piece of cinematic art,  Roma is better)
What will likely win- Roma
What should also be nominated- The Burning (you don't need to drop any of the current nominees, just add it)

Shorts and docos... I have seen zero of the nominated shorts and only one nominated doco so I cannot make a firm call. That said, I'm deeply hoping that RBG wins best doco!

And predictions done...

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